After Stalin’s death, the new Soviet
leadership attempted to make significant changes in both the domestic
life and foreign policy of the empire. In the late-1940’s the Soviet
Union—whose economy had still not recovered from the trauma of World
War II—began spending heavily in order to keep pace with the United
States in the arms build-up which had begun with the Cold War.
Following the formula which had proved effective in the 1930’s, the
capital necessary for weapons production was to be generated through an
extensive diversion of resources from the agricultural and
consumer-goods sectors of the economy. It is for this reason that the
new Soviet leadership, especially during Malenkov’s premiership
(1953-1955), attempted to mitigate domestic unrest by establishing a
more balanced economic structure marked by reduced emphasis on heavy
industry, particularly arms production. However, the Soviet plan to
reduce expenditures on arms could only be implemented within the
context of a general improvement of East-West relations, which had
until then been based upon mutual fear of direct confrontation.
Accordingly,
beginning in 1953 Soviet foreign policy became much more flexible and
for the first time since the closing stages of World War II the Soviet
Union displayed a willingness to negotiate and compromise with the
Western powers. This change in Soviet comportment ultimately opened the
way for an end to the Korean War and led to such a significant
reduction in East-West tension that the mid-1950’s are justifiably
referred to as the first period of dètente.
1.
Soviet foreign policy had four main trends in the years preceding 1956.
(13)First of all it was marked by attempts at a rapprochement with
Britain, France, and the rest of Western Europe as well as the United
States without seriously considering any change in the status quo. With
the onset of détente, the Soviet Union’s relations with the
West, based on a growing parity in the balance of power as well as a
mutual respect for the post-World War II status quo in Europe, was to
receive a new definition. Although Moscow did in fact respect the
sanctity of the European spheres of influence throughout even the
chilliest years of the Cold War, Western Europeans were nonetheless
constantly worried about the possibility of a Soviet attack. The new
course in Soviet foreign policy gave rise to a greater sense of
security in Western Europe. The increased Soviet inclination toward
negotiation was also largely due to the fact that even though they had,
with the development of the hydrogen bomb, largely caught up to the
United States in the arms race, the differing geopolitical location of
the two countries still left the Soviet Union in a vulnerable position
since it was not capable of direct attack on the American continent
until the intercontinental ballistic missile was developed at the end
of the 1950’s. The Soviet shift to a more conciliatory foreign policy
also had another, more concrete motivation: they hoped to prevent the
rearmament of West Germany by sowing discord within the Western
alliance.
The
Soviets nonetheless clearly defined the limits of the compromises they
were willing to make throughout the entire course of negotiations with
the West, and it soon became obvious that they were only disposed to
discuss issues such as that of the status of Germany and Austria which
the great Western powers had been unable to agree upon among
themselves. The irreconcilability of Soviet and Western positions
regarding the reunification of Germany ultimately prevented the sides
from reaching any kind of agreement, and when West Germany had joined
NATO in 1955, the question was taken off the agenda for quite some
time. The resolution of the Austrian question in the same year
nevertheless demonstrated the willingness of the Soviet leadership to
bargain with the West: in exchange for a pledge to withdraw their
troops from the country, the Soviets were able to get the Western
powers to agree to permanently uphold Austria’s strict neutrality and
to allow those Eastern European countries which were not already
members of the United Nations to join the world organization. However
the Soviets never considered the issue of the satellite countries to be
negotiable; in fact, since the Soviet Union’s ratification of the
Austrian State Treaty in 1955 would remove the legal basis for
continued presence of its troops in Hungary and Romania, the Soviet
Union used this as an opportunity to strengthen the cohesiveness of its
empire by establishing the communist bloc’s military alliance, the
Warsaw Pact, one day before the signing of the treaty on Austria.(14)
2.
Even though the Soviet leadership itself respected the post-war
European status quo, this did not mean that they had given up on the
idea of expanding the Soviet Union’s sphere of influence in general.
Soviet expansionist ambitions centered now on the new countries born in
the wake of the rapid disintegration of the colonial empires after
World War II, i. e., the Third World. Contrary to the strong-arm
methods it had used to subjugate Eastern Europe after World War II, the
Soviet Union was able peaceably to bring many of these primarily Arab
and Asian countries into its political orbit. People in these
underdeveloped countries, where there was a strong and natural demand
for an accelerated modernization were often allured by the Soviet
social and economic model emphasizing equality and centralized
planning. Beginning in the mid-1950’s Soviet foreign policy was aimed
at exploiting opportunities for ideological expansion into the Third
World through intensive propaganda and, where necessary, economic aid.
By this time the Soviets had also begun discreetly to provide some of
these countries with arms and military advisors. Soviet prudence in
this area was proved later at the time of the Suez crisis in
October-November, 1956: not only did the Soviets completely exclude the
option of providing direct military support to Egypt, but Soviet
military specialists and advisors immediately left the country so as
not to become embroiled even indirectly in conflict with the Western
powers. (15) A few days later, when it became clear that the United
States itself would compel Great Britain and France to cease their
armed attacks on Egypt, the Soviets resumed their propaganda strategy
of portraying themselves as the champion of the independence of the
Arab countries and the small peoples of the world in general.
3.
A primary objective of the new Soviet leadership was to repair the
cracks and fissures which had appeared in the socialist bloc through
the break with Yugoslavia in 1948. In May of 1955 Khrushchev and
Bulganin went to Belgrade in an attempt to make amends with Tito,
blaming Stalinist policies for the deterioration in relations between
the two countries and communist parties. Throughout 1955 and 1956 the
Soviets made several conciliatory gestures toward Yugoslavia, such as
giving public sanction to the tenet that there could be more than one
valid way to build socialism. The Soviet leadership, which was still
only capable of thinking in terms of military blocs, did not really
believe in what they were saying: their policy of conciliation toward
Tito was, in fact, designed to bring Yugoslavia slowly and peacefully
back into the socialist camp and, more specifically, to draw it into
the Warsaw Pact. These steps, however, did not imply that Moscow was
prepared to accept the Yugoslav model for its east European satellites.
4.
One of the most important aims of Soviet foreign policy in East-Central
Europe was to maintain stability at any cost. The Soviets were so
keenly aware of the mounting social unrest in East Germany that in
early June of 1953 they invited East German party leaders to Moscow and
instructed them to introduce a more liberal political direction to
their country. This, what was to be a short-lived period of reform in
East Germany (Neue Kurs/New Course) was marked not only by a reduction
in heavy industrial production and a corresponding increase in the
production of consumer goods, but also meant reduced restrictions on
travel abroad, the suspension of the collectivization of agriculture,
an end to curbs on religious practices and even, for a short time, the
removal of the word ‘socialism’ itself from the regime’s propaganda
vocabulary. For the Soviets all this served - besides alleviating
social discontent - the purpose of creating better conditions for
future negotiations with the West on the potential reunification of
Germany. The Berlin uprising in June of 1953 erupted despite all these
precautions, and partly because the GDR leadership was reluctant to
follow the instructions from Moscow.(16) Soviet political intervention
to suppress the turmoil was vigorous and concise, though Moscow
continued to try to moderate East Germany’s radical policies.
It
was the same concern which made the Soviets intervene politically in
Hungary and replace Rákosi with Imre Nagy in June 1953. And though the
permissible pace and scope of post-Stalin political reform in Eastern
Europe depended greatly upon which faction happened to have the upper
hand in the incessant power struggles within the Soviet leadership,
there was never any question in Moscow that the satellite states would
remain inside the Soviet empire. But they were prepared to consider a
moderate revision of the principles underlying relations between the
Soviet Union and its East European allies and to regulate this
relationship. This revision found expression in the Soviet government
declaration of 30 October, 1956, which, contrary to earlier
assumptions, was formulated before the upheaval in Poland and Hungary,
in mid-October at the very latest, and was merely updated in accordance
with the new political developments. (17) Beyond outlining considerably
more equitable foundations for relations between the Soviet Union and
its satellite states, this pronouncement asserted unambiguously that
each country had the right to find its own way toward internal
political reform only as long as it did not stray beyond the confines
of the Soviet bloc.
The
Soviets were, however, extremely wary of Yugoslavia’s growing influence
in Eastern Europe, most importantly in Poland and in Hungary,
suspecting reasonably that what people knew of the Yugoslav socialist
model—with an active popular front and extensive workers’
self-management as well as consideration for local and national
concerns—might prove to be more attractive in this region than the
Soviet pattern. Therefore, at the end of the summer of 1956 the
presidium of the CPSU sent a secret communiqué to the leaders of the
satellite countries cautioning them that the Soviet Union took a dim
view of exaggerated promotion of the Yugoslav model.
At
the same time the Soviet leadership, worrying about the East European
political developments, especially following the Poznan uprising in
June, 1956, were eager to avoid further outbreaks of social discontent
in the region by applying means of political intervention. This is why
in July, 1956 Moscow eventually decided to replace Rákosi as the head
of the Hungarian party in order to ease the political tension in the
country. Mikoyan was sent to Budapest on whose advice the Central
Committee accapted Rákosi’s resignation and elected Ernõ Gerõ as the
head of the party. However, Mikoyan also informed the Hungarian leaders
that should unexpected events occur in the country, the Soviet union
would not hesitate to come to the help of the Hungarian party.(18) A
similar message was communicated by Khrushchev to Tito through
Micunivic, Yugoslav Ambassador in Moscow informing him that in case of
the further deterioration of the situation the Soviet leadership was
prepared to use every possible means to overcome a crisis in Hungary
since the Soviet Union can by no means allow to make a breach in the
front of the camp.(19)
The Western Great Powers
The
policy of the first Eisenhower administration (1953-56) toward those
countries of East-Central Europe that had landed in the Soviet sphere
of influence after World War II was characterized by a peculiar
duality.(20) Eisenhower and his would be Secretary of State, John
Foster Dulles had made the so-called peaceful liberation of captive
nations an integral part of their campaign platform; they firmly
believed that the Truman administration’s policy of containment of
communism was not befitting the United States as leader of the free
world and that ultimately only a more offensive posture would compel
the Soviet Union to surrender its East European domains. Accordingly,
the American government devoted considerable sums toward funding of
subversive radio stations and other such organizations as well as
Eastern European emigré organizations. Reference to liberation of the
captive nations—though exactly how it was to be accomplished was never
made clear—was, all the way up until October of 1956, a mandatory
component of all high-level American political pronouncements, which
were subsequently transmitted to Eastern Europe by various propaganda
organizations, particularly Radio Free Europe and Voice of America. All
this served to create the illusion, not only in Eastern Europe and the
United States, but throughout the entire world, that the United States,
which had in fact never shown any real interest in the region, had made
the liberation of these nations the cornerstone of its foreign policy
and of East-West relations in general.
In
reality, however, American foreign policy of this era was based on a
thorough pragmatism characterized by recognition of the post-World War
II European status quo and the prevailing balance of power with the
Soviet Union as well as the avoidance at all costs of superpower
conflict. The United States, together with the other Western powers,
tried to exploit the new disposition of the post-Stalin Soviet
leadership in order to open negotiations regarding issues which they
found to be vital to their interests such as ending the Korean War, a
settlement in South-East Asia, disarmament, reunification of Germany,
and the status of Austria.
Thus,
particularly after the American government discovered that the Soviets
had made unexpectedly rapid progress toward developing an
intercontinental ballistic missile, especially from 1955-56 the United
States sought to mitigate East-West political tension by finding an
acceptable modus vivendi with the Soviet Union—one which was to become
known to the world as peaceful coexistence.
The
communist countries of Eastern Europe did not receive a prominent role
in this process since the United States, in its typical great power way
of thinking, considered the Soviet Union to be its only legitimate
negotiating partner. During this period of East-West reconciliation and
rapprochement the Western powers sought to put the issue of the
so-called satellite states on the negotiating table with the
Soviets(21) but it became quickly apparent—especially at the time of
the Geneva summit in July of 1955 and in the interval prior to
Khrushchev and Bulganin’s official visit to Britain in April of
1956—that the Soviet Union, which in certain respects had already
surpassed the United States in the arms race, was only willing to
negotiate from a position of strength. In this way the Soviets were
only prepared to discuss issues which had not yet been settled from
their perspective and any mention of their previous foreign conquests
continued to activate a Stalinist rejection reflex.
Thereafter
the United States and the other Western powers considered the question
of Eastern Europe to be of secondary importance to that of overall
East-West détente, a position which is quite understandable when
viewed from an international political perspective. Though they had not
abandoned hope that the peoples of Eastern Europe would eventually
regain their independence, by the autumn of 1956 Western political
officials had come to the conclusion that, for the time being, the
Yugoslav political model—’national communism’—offered these countries
the greatest opportunity for gaining a certain degree of both internal
and external autonomy. (22)
Thus
the Western powers—contrary to what was to become one of the principle
elements contained in communist propaganda for decades thereafter—not
only did not help to ignite the Hungarian revolution or the resistance
of Poland to Moscow, but did not even remotely expect that an open
conflict, let alone an armed uprising, would erupt in one of the Soviet
satellite states. The Western powers had no pre-existing
strategy—except that military intervention was absolutely ruled out of
the question under any circumstances—designed to deal with such an
unexpected event.
Copyright © 2000 The Institute for the History of the 1956 Hungarian Revolution